Updated 28 November 2020
Using only the data from https://coronavirus.data.gov.uk/ today (but taking account of numbers tested) here is an update of the key trend plots.
First we have the new 'cases' (i.e. those testing positive from a PCR test) as a proportion of number of tests (this is all PCR tests conducted in laboratories and lateral flow device tests):
Consequently, we are now starting to see a divergence between 'cases' (i.e. positive tests) and number of tests as seen in this plot over last the last 6 weeks (obviously different linear scales used for each as shown; moving 7-day averages with 2-day delay on cases)
Next, the proportion of 'cases' which lead to hospital admissions (but, as usual, note that any person admitted to hospital who has a positive PCR test within 14 days prior to admission or within 28 days after admission is classified as a COVID admission irrespective of their reason for being in hospital).
And of course the fact that we are still waiting for the evidence needed to determine whether the 'benefits' of lockdowns exceed the 'costs':
Finally here is a summary of the data/evidence we really need to determine if the 'benefits' of lockdowns exceed the 'costs':
Oh and here is an interesting comparison between the UK and Sweden which suggests lockdowns do not reduce deaths.
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- All COVID articles on this blog