Probability and Risk

Improving public understanding of probability and risk with special emphasis on its application to the law. Why Bayes theorem and Bayesian networks are needed

Tuesday, 29 September 2015

Yet another flawed statistical study attracts massive unquestioning attention

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The Guardian, 29 Sept 2015 A very widely reported story in today’s news (see, for example, the report in the Guardian and this Press ...
Monday, 31 August 2015

Doctoring Data: Review of a must read book

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Book Review:   Malcom Kendrick “Doctoring Data: How to sort out medical advice from medical nonsense” Columbus Publishing Ltd, 2015 ...
Sunday, 30 August 2015

Using Bayesian networks to assess and manage risk of violent reoffending among prisoners

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Fragment of BN model Probation officers, clinicians, and forensic medical practitioners have for several years sought improved decision ...
Thursday, 27 August 2015

Modelling crime linkage with Bayesian networks

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  When two or more crimes show specific similarities, such as a very distinct modus operandi, the probability that they were committed by ...
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